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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+117/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 9.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 29.3% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

With a fantastic 76.7% Adjusted Catch% (91st percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Lions as the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-catching performance worsened this year, compiling just 6.4 adjusted catches vs 7.4 last year.

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