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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has run a route on 94.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Lions being a 6-point favorite in this game.

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