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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 10.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this year (31.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (22.1%).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving performance has improved this season, totaling 7.0 yards per game vs a measly 5.7 last season.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 77.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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