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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 59.6 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After totaling 76.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has regressed heavily this season, currently averaging 61.0 per game.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 98.0 rate.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, notching a measly 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.89 mark last season.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a measly 2.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.55 mark last season.
  • The Vikings pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

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