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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up far fewer air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).

Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 75.1% to 69.1%.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating just 7.30 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.89 figure last season.

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