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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

This week, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 98th percentile among wideouts with 9.9 targets.

With a remarkable 30.0% Target% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 3.8 YAC.

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