Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 31, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 85.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
With an impressive 93.7% Route Participation% (95th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.
In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the projections to land in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.5 targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Lions are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.4 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 4.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates an impressive diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 5.6% mark.

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