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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 22.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 84th percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has garnered a colossal 22.8% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.47 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.33 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the NFL.

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