Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Amari Cooper is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.
Amari Cooper places in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a massive 65.3 mark this year.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Amari Cooper's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 60.6%.
This year, the fierce Steelers defense has given up a puny 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
The Steelers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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