Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-107/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to garner 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper has been a more important option in his offense's pass attack this year (26.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 62.5%.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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