Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to notch 8.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Amari Cooper has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this year (28.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 61.8%.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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