Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to notch 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Amari Cooper's 66.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 50.3.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.9% to 64.5%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (60.1%) vs. wideouts this year (60.1%).

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