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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • Amari Cooper has been a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this year (26.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.2%).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Amari Cooper has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.9% to 63.2%.
  • The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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