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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+129/-179).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -179.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Amari Cooper has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 5.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game this week (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (27.4% in games he has played).

Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 63.9%.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.7%) versus wide receivers this year (64.7%).

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