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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-178/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to notch 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this year (26.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.2%).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.9%) versus wide receivers this year (63.9%).

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