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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to garner 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Amari Cooper has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this season (24.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.8%).

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

Amari Cooper's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.7% to 65.7%.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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