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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to earn 8.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.

Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his team's passing attack this season (26.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.7% to 64.3%.

The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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