Amari Cooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to garner 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this week (23.8% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.8% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.78 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.