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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+216/-332).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -332.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • Amari Cooper has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.9% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • Amari Cooper has notched quite a few more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).
  • Amari Cooper's 69.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 47.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.8%) to wide receivers this year (63.8%).
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.60 per game this year.

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