Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+216/-332).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -332.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Amari Cooper has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.9% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper has notched quite a few more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).
Amari Cooper's 69.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 47.0.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.8%) to wide receivers this year (63.8%).
The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.60 per game this year.

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