Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 23, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+251/-409).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -333 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -409.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better conditions in this week's game.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (27.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.5% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper has compiled a whopping 80.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper's 49.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 81st percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.

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