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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+217/-333).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -274 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -333.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • Amari Cooper has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Amari Cooper has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (85.0 per game).
  • Amari Cooper's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 50.3.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 62.6%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered the 7th-least TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.77 per game this year.

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