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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+231/-363).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -361 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -363.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (24.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.2% in games he has played).
  • Amari Cooper has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • Amari Cooper's 47.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 75th percentile for wideouts.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 7th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the fastest in football since the start of last season.

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