Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+231/-363).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -361 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -363.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (24.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.2% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper's 47.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 75th percentile for wideouts.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 7th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the fastest in football since the start of last season.

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