Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+119/-142).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused offense in football (40.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projection model to call 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).

Favors Under

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
Alvin Kamara has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this season (27.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (49.0%).
Alvin Kamara's 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a meaningful decline in his running proficiency over last season's 34.0 mark.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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