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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 73.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to earn 16.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Alvin Kamara has received 60.4% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Alvin Kamara has generated 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
  • Alvin Kamara's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 6.33 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.11 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

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