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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

The projections expect Alvin Kamara to accrue 13.8 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Among all running backs, Alvin Kamara ranks in the 88th percentile for carries since the start of last season, making up 54.1% of the workload in his offense's running game.

Alvin Kamara has grinded out 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (85th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Alvin Kamara grades out as one of the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.52 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 12th percentile.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

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