Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 16, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to earn 13.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Alvin Kamara has averaged 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (96th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (52.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (65.0% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

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