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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the projections to run 67.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 66.4 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • This week, Alvin Kamara is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 7.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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