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Alvin Kamara
NFL · Player Props
Alvin Kamara
RB · New Orleans Saints
Receptions
New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Alvin Kamara Receptions

Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+127/-171).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -171.

Favors Over
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Alvin Kamara has been among the most unreliable receivers in football among RBs, catching a mere 69.5% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.4%) to running backs this year (63.4%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
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