Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 12:22 PM EST

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projection model to call 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
This week, Alvin Kamara is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.7 targets.

Favors Under

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% pass rate.
Alvin Kamara's 25.5% Route% this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his passing game utilization over last season's 54.2% mark.
Alvin Kamara's 77.4% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 83.5% figure.
Alvin Kamara's 4.0 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a material decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.0 figure.
The Steelers safeties profile as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

More Alvin Kamara Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow