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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The model projects Alvin Kamara to accrue 7.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has put up a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among RBs. (This may not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Alvin Kamara's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.9.

Alvin Kamara profiles as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 33.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Alvin Kamara's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.4% to 73.3%.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

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