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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Opposing offenses have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Alvin Kamara's 66.9% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a noteworthy gain in his passing game usage over last season's 53.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Alvin Kamara's 82.2% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a substantial diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 86.4% figure.

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