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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.1%) to running backs since the start of last season (73.1%).

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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