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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to garner 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Alvin Kamara has accumulated a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Alvin Kamara's 30.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 99th percentile for RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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