Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused offense in football (40.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
Favors Under
This week's line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
Alvin Kamara has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this season (27.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (49.0%).
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.