Alvin Kamara Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 18, 2026 4:58 PM EST

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+145/-205).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.
New Orleans's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats decreased) due to playing the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions in this game.
The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league last year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 39.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
While Alvin Kamara has been responsible for 49.0% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in New Orleans's ground game this week at 17.2%.

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