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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 6th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 20.7 rush attempts.

Alvin Kamara has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this season (68.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (53.6%).

The Buccaneers safeties project as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

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