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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

The projections expect Alvin Kamara to accrue 13.8 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Among all running backs, Alvin Kamara ranks in the 88th percentile for carries since the start of last season, making up 54.1% of the workload in his offense's running game.

The Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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