Alvin Kamara Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to earn 12.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Alvin Kamara has received 55.7% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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