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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to total 15.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Alvin Kamara has been given 65.3% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

The Carolina Panthers defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 61.3 plays per game.

The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

The New Orleans Saints have faced a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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