My Account Log Out

reorder

Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-138/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to total 17.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Alvin Kamara has received 59.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.

The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™