Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Allen Robinson's 71.8% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 64.8% rate.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New England's CB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
Allen Robinson's 75.2% Route Participation% this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his air attack volume over last year's 92.7% figure.

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