Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Allen Robinson has run fewer routes this season (94.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (82.2%).
The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Allen Robinson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a measly 57.9% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 19th percentile among wide receivers
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in football since the start of last season.