Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Allen Robinson has run fewer routes this year (96.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (82.2%).

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Allen Robinson's receiving skills have declined this year, averaging a measly 2.3 yards per game vs 3.3 last year.
Allen Robinson's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 59.8% to 55.0%.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57%) versus wide receivers this year (57.0%).

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