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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Allen Robinson has run fewer routes this year (96.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (82.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Allen Robinson's receiving skills have declined this year, averaging a measly 2.3 yards per game vs 3.3 last year.
  • Allen Robinson's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 59.8% to 55.0%.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57%) versus wide receivers this year (57.0%).

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