Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Allen Robinson has run a route on 84.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to notch 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Allen Robinson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 61.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 10th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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