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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Allen Robinson has run a route on 84.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to notch 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Allen Robinson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 61.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 10th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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