Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Allen Robinson has run a route on 92.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to accrue 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Allen Robinson has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.55 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile among wideouts
Allen Robinson has been among the worst wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 17th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.