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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+288/-501).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -467 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -501.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Allen Robinson grades out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (71%) to WRs this year (71.0%).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line this week (16.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (28.1% in games he has played).
  • Allen Robinson has notched far fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
  • Allen Robinson's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 50.1.

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