Allen Robinson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+288/-501).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -467 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -501.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Allen Robinson grades out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (71%) to WRs this year (71.0%).
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line this week (16.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (28.1% in games he has played).
Allen Robinson has notched far fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
Allen Robinson's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 50.1.