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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-365).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (16.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.8% in games he has played).

Allen Robinson has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

Allen Robinson's 30.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 50.1.

More Allen Robinson Player Props

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