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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+219/-347).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +260 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +219.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be much less involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (17.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (29.2% in games he has played).

Allen Robinson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (49.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

Allen Robinson's 32.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 50.1.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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