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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+248/-401).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +249 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +248.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Allen Robinson has been a big part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.6% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among WRs.

Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.1%.

The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has allowed their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.

Allen Robinson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (52.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).

Allen Robinson's 40.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 50.1.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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