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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+133/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Allen Lazard's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 28.8.

Allen Lazard's receiving talent has been refined this season, notching 4.5 yards per game compared to a mere 2.8 last season.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in football (72.8%) versus wideouts this year (72.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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